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TacticalWeeklyNASDAQ-100 Growth · Aggressive tactical

Band Filter

A long/short model that rotates between the NASDAQ-100 and cash to capture upside while sidestepping major drawdowns.

Hypothetical track record Dec 1988 – May 2026 · 37.4 years · Gross of fees · Long + money-market view
+30.35%
Annualized return
gross of fees, hypothetical
−18.74%
Maximum drawdown
peak-to-trough, worst case
0.96
Sortino ratio
downside-risk adjusted
68.82%
Batting average
share of positive months
Growth of $1,000
Hypothetical · log scale · Dec 1988 = $1,000
Band Filter NASDAQ-100 (Buy & Hold)

Through the 2000–2002 and 2008 drawdowns that cut the index by more than half, the model preserved capital and kept compounding — the entire argument of the strategy, visible in a single line.

Drawdown — the risk argument
Decline from prior peak · model vs benchmark
Band Filter NASDAQ-100

For this audience, drawdown carries equal weight to return. The benchmark surrendered more than half its value twice; the model's worst case was held to −18.74%.

What this model does

Capture the index's growth — without the deep drawdowns.

Band Filter is a tactical model on the NASDAQ-100. Each week it evaluates market conditions and decides whether to be invested in the index or to step aside into cash (money market).

It is invested roughly four out of every five weeks; the rest of the time it sits in cash, out of risk. The goal is not to beat the index every month — it is to capture the index's long-term growth while avoiding the deep, multi-year drawdowns that define buy-and-hold investing.

Time invested79.09%
Signals / year2.59
Win / loss ratio157.20%
BenchmarkNASDAQ-100
Monthly & annual returns
Hypothetical · most recent first · 2026 back to 1989 · heat-mapped
Full statistics

Everything an auditor would ask for.

Annualized return
30.35%
Max drawdown
−18.74%
Sharpe ratio
0.43
Sortino ratio
0.96
Batting average
68.82%
Win / loss ratio
157.20%
% Time invested
79.09%
Ulcer index
5.12
Signals / year
2.59
Study period
Dec 1988 – May 2026
Span
37.4 yrs
Benchmark
NASDAQ-100 B&H
Important disclosures

All performance shown is hypothetical and back-tested — it does not reflect actual trading with client assets and has inherent limitations (designed with the benefit of hindsight; may not reflect the impact of real market conditions). Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Results are gross of fees; transaction / custodial fees and taxes are not reflected and would reduce results. This is not an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any investment. Charts use representative illustrative data; final disclaimer wording to be confirmed with counsel / compliance.

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